Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog.
Thursday, April 28, 2022
Facts: +3.06%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 83%, Body: 34% Green
Good: Gain on higher volume , long lower wick shows bullish reversal
Highs/Lows: Higher high, Higher low
Candle: Green body above long lower wick, short upper wick
Advance/Decline: 1.26, more advancing than declining stocks
Indexes:SPX (+2.47%), DJI (+1.85%), RUT (+1.80%), VIX (-5.09%)
Sector List: Technology ( XLK +4.00%) and Communications ( XLC +4.00%) at the top. Industrials ( XLI +1.13%) and Utilities ( XLU +1.11%) at the bottom.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq soared +3.06% on higher volume than the previous day. The 34% green body sits above a long lower wick showing a bullish reversal to the upside mid-day. The closing range of 83% comes after a little profit taking at the end of the day. There were more advancing stocks than declining stocks.
All indexes had great days. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose by +2.47%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) climbed by +1.85%. And the Russell 2000 (RUT) gained +1.80%. The VIXVolatility Index remains elevated, but declined by -5.09% today.
All S&P 500 sectors gained. Technology ( XLK +4.00%) and Communications ( XLC +4.00%) tied for the top spot on the sector list. Industrials ( XLI +1.13%) and Utilities ( XLU +1.11%) were at the bottom.
The morning dip was probably due to economic data that showed the economy shrinking in the first quarter despite higher prices. The combination is a recipe for stagflation, one of the biggest market evils. Initial Jobless Claims hit the forecast exactly at 180,000 for last week.
The US Dollar just won’t quit. The US Dollar index ( DXY ) rose by another +0.65% today. US 30y and 10y Treasury Yields declined while the 2y Yield rose slightly. High Yield ( HYG ) and Investment Grade ( LQD ) Corporate Bond prices tracked higher with Treasuries. Brent Oil rose to $107 a barrel.
There were big gains for the big six. Meta ( FB ) rose +17.59% despite mixed results. The surprise came in unexpected user growth. Microsoft ( MSFT ) continued it post-earnings gains with a +2.26% advance today. Alphabet ( GOOG ) rebounded a bit from yesterday’s loss, advancing by +3.82% today.
Apple ( AAPL ) and Amazon( AMZN ) both gained over 4% ahead of their earnings releases in the evening. Both were down in extended hours trading. Apple beat expectations but provided a cautious outlook for Q3 due to the impact of shutdowns in China. Amazon disappointed on results as the surge in consumer online spending during the pandemic is tapering off.
Meta was the top mega-cap, followed by Nvidia ( NVDA ) which gained +7.42%, likely thanks to Qualcomm’s performance. Novo Nordisk ( NVO ) fell by -1.23% to end at the bottom of the mega-cap list which had only four declining stocks.
On the Daily Update Growth List, it was Pinterest (PINS), Upwork ( UPWK ) ,and PayPal ( PYPL ) that soared on earnings results, all rising more than 10%. Pinterest topped the list with a +13.55% gain. Four stocks ended up with losses at the bottom of the list. Ehang Holdings (EH) had the biggest decline, losing -1.38% today.
PCE Price Index Data for March will be released tomorrow morning. We will also get the Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Expectations numbers for April.
Trends, Support, and Resistance
After a dip in the morning, the Nasdaq headed back toward the 13,000 support/resistance area, stopping short of 13,000 before a bit of profit taking before the close.
That action created a one-day trend line that points to a +4.36% advance for Friday. The index is unlikely to rise that much in one day, especially given Amazon will most certainly decline.
Something like 40% of Nasdaq companies reported earnings this week. Overall earnings continue to show strong performance from public companies across sectors and sizes. Leaders are cautious about the next few quarters which will continue to make investors cautious.
Tomorrow could be a good signal of just how investors feel after taking the whole week of reports in view.
Stay healthy and trade safe!
If you find this helpful or have comments, please reply and like at